Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 10.362721 12.185342 14.184450 16.533169 19.210020 22.158591 25.644802
2025-04-20 7.721119 10.290633 13.412908 17.451441 22.498322 28.555873 36.330707
2025-04-27 6.277675 9.237023 13.130773 18.546986 25.790614 35.037986 47.611774
2025-05-04 5.118093 8.206602 12.556799 18.988108 28.081914 40.282750 57.648429
2025-05-11 4.151097 7.204662 11.780664 18.924079 29.530554 44.384886 66.367044
2025-05-18 3.357275 6.283064 10.930662 18.559983 30.402738 47.639455 74.043289
2025-05-25 2.733590 5.500241 10.145155 18.137037 31.061075 50.542029 81.325662
2025-06-01 2.237633 4.831273 9.423878 17.685698 31.567598 53.180635 88.318676
2025-06-08 1.770707 4.114327 8.497883 16.747824 31.150800 54.304578 93.011635
2025-06-15 1.607979 3.957443 8.542543 17.475019 33.527643 59.959385 105.070922
2025-06-22 1.423645 3.717135 8.390636 17.817198 35.253261 64.650720 115.853620
2025-06-29 1.185547 3.307501 7.843705 17.348295 35.486883 66.857030 122.693758
2025-07-06 0.931099 2.816313 7.085923 16.445731 34.975656 67.984988 128.228112
2025-07-13 0.851835 2.740405 7.207742 17.335833 37.935073 75.430424 145.110804
2025-07-20 0.793227 2.704341 7.411932 18.420543 41.369151 83.965429 164.427769
2025-07-27 0.701301 2.551981 7.320625 18.858219 43.563636 90.400349 180.438909
2025-08-03 0.596300 2.330504 7.022147 18.794414 44.729006 95.000449 193.430187
2025-08-10 0.494840 2.086782 6.619868 18.432446 45.226905 98.354606 204.327079
2025-08-17 0.408310 1.861488 6.219355 18.012007 45.544203 101.359884 214.727113
2025-08-24 0.335595 1.657018 5.832258 17.563358 45.741953 104.121869 224.802286
2025-08-31 0.261728 1.416528 5.287720 16.631103 44.748918 104.406852 230.117748
2025-09-07 0.242393 1.388922 5.374420 17.353937 47.615057 112.739508 251.541487
2025-09-14 0.215966 1.320726 5.321489 17.694072 49.610461 119.383314 269.966706